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Two-phase retirement math

FIRE calculator with Social Security

Estimate how Social Security may reduce the later portfolio-funded spending gap without incorrectly using future benefits to fund the early-retirement bridge.

Published 2026-08-12Updated 2026-08-20

Social Security can reduce the amount a portfolio must provide after benefits begin. It does not fund the years before claiming, and a simple subtraction can understate the bridge required for early retirement.

Use the calculator below for the later steady-state gap, then separately reserve for the pre-benefit years.

Interactive estimate

Later-income gap calculator

Estimate the portfolio target after gross Social Security or pension income begins. Fund the years before those payments separately.

Social Security benefit input

Gross annual Social Security

$30,000

Later annual portfolio gap

$42,000

Target after income begins

$1,050,000

2025 federal taxable-benefit estimate

This estimates how much of the gross benefit enters federal taxable income. It is not the tax owed and does not change the gross income used in the portfolio-gap calculation.

Gross annual benefit (cash received)

$30,000

Included in federal taxable income

$13,850

Provisional income: $45,000 · federally tax-free benefit portion: $16,150 · method v1.1.2. Uses IRS Publication 915 (2025), the latest completed worksheet reviewed on August 15, 2026.

Educational estimates only, not individualized Social Security, tax, investment, or financial advice. Claim estimates are retired-worker comparisons based on the FRA amount you enter; verify benefits with SSA. Federal taxable-benefit estimates exclude state tax and special IRS worksheet situations. They use the gross benefit entered above and do not apply ordinary repayments or Form SSA-1099/RRB-1099 net box 5. Exact inputs and results stay in this browser.

Two-phase method

  • Phase 1: retirement date through the year before benefits begin. The portfolio covers the full spending gap.
  • Phase 2: benefit years. Subtract expected Social Security and other durable income from spending.
  • Stress both phases for taxes, benefit uncertainty, survivor changes, and poor early returns.

Example

A household spends $72,000 and expects $30,000 of annual Social Security beginning in ten years. At 4%, the later steady-state gap of $42,000 corresponds to $1.05 million. That does not include the first ten years of larger withdrawals, so $1.05 million is not the complete retirement target.

What this quick calculator omits

  • Benefit taxation and account-specific withdrawal taxes.
  • Cost-of-living adjustments and claiming-age tradeoffs.
  • Survivor and spousal benefit rules.
  • Sequence risk during the bridge.

Frequently asked questions

Does a FIRE number include Social Security?
A basic FIRE number usually does not. Social Security can be modeled as later income that reduces the spending gap after benefits begin.
Can I subtract my full estimated benefit?
Use a conservative, current estimate and account for taxes, claiming age, and timing. Do not subtract it from years before it begins.
What if I plan to claim at 70?
The later benefit may be higher, but the portfolio must fund a longer bridge. Compare both the benefit amount and the additional bridge withdrawals.

Keep planning

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Educational illustration only — not financial, investment, tax, legal, medical, or insurance advice. Calculations use simplified assumptions and do not predict future returns or benefits.